The Race
Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell is running for reelection in Alabama's 7th U.S. House District, with the general election scheduled for November 3. This is a contested race, but Sewell's seat is not up for grabs as an open race. The stage was set during the May 19 primary elections, where the Democratic primary featured one candidate and Republicans held their own contest. All candidates combined have raised $1,552,148 so far.
The Democratic primary was already decided: Sewell ran unopposed. On the Republican side, the May 19 primary produced a challenger to face her in the fall.
Experts
The consensus from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball is clear: this race is rated as Solid Democratic. In plain English, that means the experts think Democrats are heavily favored to hold this seat.
Prediction Markets
Kalshi's election prediction markets tell a similar story. As of June 29, bettors gave Democrats a 90.17% probability of winning, with Republicans at 9.83%.
Markets vs. Experts
Here's the interesting part: the midterm race ratings and the Kalshi Polymarket odds are singing the same song. The experts say Solid Democratic. The bettors say 90% Democratic.
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