Who's In the Race

Rep. Paul Gosar (R-AZ) faces Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in the Nov. 3 general election in Arizona's 9th Congressional District. ​

Gosar has served as a U.S. Representative for Arizona since 2011, and he practiced dentistry before entering Congress. Sterbinsky is a Navy veteran who served as an Operations Specialist aboard the USS Bainbridge and has worked in human resources.

What They Stand For

Gosar has proposed reserving powers not explicitly delegated to the federal government to the states, according to his official House website. He's also supported:

  • Stricter immigration and border security,
  • Second Amendment rights,
  • Veterans' issues; and
  • Protecting national security from threats "both foreign and domestic."

Sterbinsky has proposed expanding rural VA services and improving mental-health resources for veterans, according to her campaign website. She's also supported:

  • Accessible healthcare and mental-health services,
  • Stability for military families; and
  • Arizona energy jobs through a mix of traditional and renewable energy.

The Money Behind the Race

Through July 1, Paul Gosar had raised about $580,000 and had about $303,000 cash on hand, while Danielle Sterbinsky had raised about $354,000 and had about $26,000, roughly one-twelfth as much cash as Gosar. Gosar carried about $6,958 in debt, well under half his receipts.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Republican as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 2. Kalshi traders gave Republicans, whose nominee is Gosar, a 93.14% chance of winning as of Oct. 14, while Democrats, whose nominee is Sterbinsky, stood at 6.86%.

Gosar won the district with about 98% of the vote in 2022 and about 65% in 2024. Republicans held six of Arizona's nine U.S. House seats after both the 2022 and 2024 elections. Donald Trump carried Arizona in the 2024 presidential election with about 52% of the vote.

---

AllCiv makes it easy to stay politically informed and involved.

---

Spot something wrong? Report an issue with this article