The Race
It's Laura Friedman versus Scott A. Meyers in California's 30th U.S. House District this November. The incumbent Democrat cruised through the primary on June 2, racking up 96,244 votes to Meyers's 30,601 in a field of seven candidates. Now they're heading to the general election on November 3, where ten candidates total will compete for the seat.
Ratings
California's 30th is rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Friedman, the sitting representative, is the overwhelming favorite in a district that has shown no appetite for Republican alternatives.
Prediction Markets
Kalshi's prediction market says Democrats have a 95% probability of winning this race.
Experts vs. Markets
A Solid Democratic rating matches up perfectly with 95% odds for the Democratic candidate. Either way, Friedman enters the general election as the clear favorite.
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