Who's In the Race

Rep. Dave Min (D-CA) faces Republican Jenny Le Roux in the November 3 general election in California's 47th District. California's voter-nominated primary sends the two highest vote-getters to the general election regardless of party. ​

Min previously served in the California State Senate from 2020 to 2024 and worked as a UC Irvine law professor and Securities and Exchange Commission enforcement attorney before winning the seat. In the June 2 top-two primary, Min led the field with about 45% of the vote; Le Roux finished second with about 25%, according to the California Secretary of State.

Le Roux is an entrepreneur who co-built companies in energy and financial services and serves as executive director of CAL DOGE, a government-spending watchdog organization; she holds a B.A. in economics from the University of Virginia and an MBA from Columbia Business School.

What They Stand For

Min has proposed reversing Medicaid cuts and restoring Affordable Care Act tax credits, saying "Healthcare today should be seen as a basic human right," according to the Orange County Register questionnaire. He's also supported:

  • Reducing barriers to construction and expanding federal affordable-housing programs, including the Low Income Housing Tax Credit and Section 8 vouchers,
  • Requiring judicial warrants before government agencies access camera data,
  • Opposing offshore drilling expansion, citing risks to coastal economies and arguing renewable energy will be cheaper than oil and gas; and
  • Requiring new data centers to meet a "do no harm" standard so they do not raise household energy costs, according to the Orange County Register.

Le Roux has proposed reining in federal spending, pursuing permitting reform to speed housing construction, and reducing the tax burden on small businesses, according to her campaign website. She also supports:

  • Funding border security, ending "catch-and-release," closing asylum loopholes, and maintaining a legal immigration process,
  • Public spending reports, independent audits of high-risk programs, and faster access to federal records through Freedom of Information Act reform; and
  • Audits and fraud detection in Medicare and Medicaid, along with greater prescription-drug transparency and competition, saying "I won't cut benefits for seniors and families who've earned them," according to the Orange County Register.

The Money Behind the Race

Through June 30, Min had raised about $3.4 million and had about $1.9 million in the bank, roughly nine times as much in total receipts and nearly 15 times as much cash as Le Roux, who had raised about $376,000 and had about $129,000 on hand.

Le Roux carried about $158,000 in debt through that date, more than 40 percent of her total receipts. Outside groups have spent about $126,615 supporting Min, with Protect Progress as the largest backer at about $107,940, followed by HMP at about $15,178.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Democratic as of Oct. 19; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 2. Kalshi traders gave Democrats, whose nominee is Min, a 98.55% chance of winning as of Oct. 20.

The district has gone Democratic in each of the past two cycles: Min won it in 2024 with about 51% of the vote, and Katie Porter won it in 2022 with about 52%. In 2022, Democrats won 40 of California's 52 U.S. House seats, and Republicans won 12. In the 2024 presidential race, California went to Democrat Kamala Harris with about 58% of the vote.

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