Who's In the Race
Louisiana's 4th U.S. House District race has five general-election candidates, including House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA), and the general election is set for Nov. 3. The candidates are Johnson and fellow Republicans Joshua Morott and Mike Nichols, and Democrats Conrad Cable and Matthew Gromlich. [](#ngr-9f94f660-cd1b-456d-8439-97762b37b920)
What They Stand For
Johnson describes himself as a constitutional-law attorney committed to fundamental freedoms and traditional values. His campaign frames the election as a choice between House Republicans' "common sense and real results" and a Democratic agenda it says would reopen the borders and make life more expensive and dangerous. Johnson has said Republicans will expand their House majority in the 2026 midterm elections.
Joshua Morott describes his campaign as focused on family-court reform, and he opposes carbon-capture scams. Mike Nichols's campaign describes him as "the Right Mike" for Congress.
Cable describes himself as a first-generation Louisiana farmer running to create fair wages, expand healthcare access, and increase opportunity. He supports overturning *Citizens United* and banning congressional stock trading. Cable supports raising living wages, protecting unions, expanding disaster relief, and ending political corruption. He also supports strong federal laws protecting voting rights.
Matthew Gromlich describes himself as a Shreveport educator and researcher running for Congress, and his campaign identifies lowering costs for Louisiana families as a priority. He supports investing in education, putting workers first, and affordable healthcare. Gromlich supports universal pre-kindergarten, higher wages, and policies supporting working families.
The Money Behind the Race
Outside groups have spent $2 in this race as of Oct. 5, all of it in support of Republican candidates, with the Freedom Caucus Fund accounting for the full amount. A Real Bottom Line PAC has $105,291 in spending listed as pending, with the full amount marked as opposing spending.
The committee leaderboard below shows total spending amounts and does not indicate whether spending supports or opposes any candidate.
Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets
Every major handicapper rates this seat as safe for Republicans. Cook Political Report rated the race "Solid Republican" as of Sept. 25; Sabato's Crystal Ball matched that rating as of Sept. 29; and Inside Elections also rated it "Solid Republican" as of Oct. 2. A consensus rating aggregating those sources also stood at "Solid Republican" as of Oct. 2.
Prediction market Kalshi gave Republicans a 92.8 percent chance of winning the seat as of Oct. 5, with Democrats at 7.2 percent. The market had recorded 2,957 contracts traded.
In the 2024 presidential race, Republican Donald Trump carried Louisiana with 60.2 percent of the vote. District-level results for 2022 and 2024 in Louisiana's 4th District are not available in the source data.
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