The Winner
If you live in Pennsylvania's 16th U.S. House District, you will continue to be represented in Congress by Mike Kelly) (R-PA), who has been declared the winner of the 2026 congressional race, according to the Associated Press.
Kelly took about 53.9% of the vote, or about 154,380 votes, to about 46.1% for Democrat Justin Wagner), about 132,225 votes, according to unofficial results.
That put Kelly ahead by about 22,155 votes, or about eight points. The winner is based on the AP call, and the vote figures are preliminary and may change until the state certifies the totals.
The Race
Wagner, the Democratic opponent, reached the general election ballot through the May 19 Democratic primary. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections each rated the seat Solid Republican heading into Election Day.
Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District has a population of about 762,600 and is about 88.3% white, according to Geographies data for the district. Median household income is about $67,800, and the median age is about 43.
About 30% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher, the unemployment rate is about 5.1%, and about 12.4% of residents live below the poverty line.
The district covers Erie, Butler, Crawford, Lawrence and Mercer counties, plus the city of Franklin in Venango County, according to the U.S. House of Representatives.
What's Next
Kelly is set to take office on Jan. 3, 2027. Kelly chairs the House Ways and Means Subcommittee on Select Revenue Measures, according to the Erie Times-News, which reported it on Nov. 3 (updated Nov. 4).
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