The Race
The race for Montana's U.S. Senate Class II seat is shaping up as a heavyweight bout, with the general election scheduled for November third. Kurt Alme, the Republican primary winner, faces Democrat Alani Bankhead and a crowded 14-candidate general election ballot. But here's the plot twist: both the expert forecasters and the bettors are in agreement.
Expert Ratings
Cook Political Report calls it "Solid Republican," while both Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections rate it "Likely Republican." In other words, the experts believe Republicans are in the driver's seat, although Democrats aren't completely eliminated.
Prediction Markets
Kalshi's odds as of July 29 give Republicans an 82% chance of winning the seat, a significant margin months before the general election.
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