Who's In the Race

Rep. Pat Harrigan (R-NC) faces Democrat Ashley Bell and Libertarian Steven Feldman in the November 3 general election in North Carolina's 10th Congressional District. ​

Harrigan is a former Green Beret and Army veteran who has worked in defense-products manufacturing. He won the March 3 Republican primary with about 88 percent of the vote over Matt Sin.

Bell is a physician associate with 15 years of experience in emergency medicine, primary care, rural clinics, and telemedicine, and has spent 20 years as an educator. She won the March 3 Democratic primary with about 47 percent of the vote in a six-candidate field, with West Caudle finishing second at about 16 percent.

Feldman is a dermatologist and psoriasis expert, according to the Libertarian Party of North Carolina.

What They Stand For

Harrigan has supported an "all-of-the-above energy strategy" using domestic resources while promoting renewables and nuclear power, according to his official House website. He's also supported:

  • Enforcing immigration laws and strengthening border security to combat trafficking and drug smuggling,
  • Cutting red tape and supporting small businesses to create jobs,
  • Improving VA health care and expanding job-training opportunities for veterans and their families; and
  • School-choice options for parents and adequately resourcing police, according to his campaign website.

Bell has proposed universal health care and argued that insurance companies should not have more say over a patient's care than their doctor, according to her campaign website. She has also supported:

  • Regulating artificial intelligence and data centers,
  • Banning congressional stock trading, ending Citizens United, and abolishing dark money,
  • Fully funding public schools and paying teachers competitively; and
  • Reproductive rights, including access to contraception.

The Money Behind the Race

Harrigan had raised about $1.1 million through June 30 and held about $451,000 in cash on hand, while Bell had raised about $84,000 and had about $26,000 on hand. Harrigan raised roughly 13 times as much as Bell through June 30, 2026, and held more than 17 times her cash on hand as of that date. Bell carried about $8,500 in debt as of June 30.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Republican as of Oct. 19, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 11, and Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 2. Kalshi traders gave Republicans, whose nominee is Harrigan, a 93.61 percent chance of winning as of Oct. 20.

The district's recent history supports that outlook. Republicans have won the 10th District in each of the past two cycles: Patrick McHenry took about 73 percent in 2022, and Harrigan won with about 58 percent in 2024.

The Republican winner's share of the vote did fall by about 15 percentage points between those two elections, from 72.6% in 2022 to 57.5% in 2024. Statewide, Republicans won 10 of North Carolina's 14 U.S. House seats in 2024, up from seven of 14 in 2022. Donald Trump carried North Carolina in the 2024 presidential election with about 51 percent of the vote.

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