The Race
Adrian Smith cruised to victory in the Republican primary for Nebraska's third U.S. House District, and now the real race begins with several candidates competing in the general election on Nov. 3, 2026.
The incumbent Republican, Adrian Smith, dominated the Republican primary with 63.8% of the votes, crushing challenger David Huebner's 36.2% On the Democratic side, Becky Stille claimed her party's nomination uncontested. Three other candidates—David J. Else, Macey Budke and Mark Cohen—are also on the ballot, making for a crowded November matchup in a deep-red district.
Ratings
Nebraska's third is rated as Solid Republican, meaning the GOP candidate has a commanding structural advantage.
Prediction Markets
As of June 29, betting odds give the Republican candidate a 93.39% probability of winning, while the Democrat sits at just 6.61%.
Experts vs. Markets
The experts' Solid Republican rating and the markets' 93% Republican win probability are one in the same.
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