Who's In the Race

Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) faces Republican Lewis Mizrahi in the November 3 general election in New York's 8th Congressional District. ​

Jeffries has represented the district since 2013, giving him at least 13 years in the seat heading into November. He has served as House Democratic Leader since 2023 and previously practiced law and served six years in the New York State Assembly.

Mizrahi has no campaign website.

Neither the Democratic nor the Republican primary was held on June 23, and each party's nominee advanced as the sole candidate. Mizrahi's background is not detailed in available records.

What They Stand For

Jeffries has proposed expanding the Child Tax Credit to lower child care, health care, education and prescription-drug costs, according to his campaign website. He's also supported:

  • Universal background checks and an assault-weapons ban, alongside stronger police-community relationships,
  • Investment in affordable housing and public housing repairs so residents can find homes they "can actually afford,"
  • Enshrining Roe v. Wade protections in federal law, saying pregnancy decisions belong to "women, their families and their doctors"; and
  • Criminal-justice reforms, including ending sentencing disparities between crack and powder cocaine.

Mizrahi's policy positions are not detailed in available records.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Every major handicapper rates this seat out of reach for Republicans. Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Democratic as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 2. On Kalshi, traders gave Democrats, whose nominee is Jeffries, a 94.79% chance of winning as of Oct. 15, with Republicans, whose nominee is Mizrahi, at 5.21%.

The district's recent history reinforces that picture. Jeffries won the seat with about 69% of the vote in 2022 and won again in 2024, though no vote share for 2024 is available. New York Democrats hold 19 of the state's 26 U.S. House seats after 2024, up from 18 in 2022, giving the party about 73 percent of the delegation. In the 2024 presidential race, Democratic nominee Kamala Harris carried New York with about 55% of the vote.

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