The Race
Eight candidates are competing in the general election for Ohio's 5th U.S. House District on November 3, 2026. Robert Edward Latta, who won the Republican primary on May 5, 2026, faces a Democratic primary that produced a winner through tight margins, Brian Alan Shaver. Republican Erica Elizabeth Kelley and independent Dalton James Franklin round out the ballot.
Ratings
The Cook Political Report rates Ohio's 5th as "Solid Republican" as of mid-June 2026.
Prediction Markets
As of June 29, 2026, betting odds give Republicans an 89.69% probability of winning the seat, while Democrats sit at just 10.31%.
Experts vs. Markets
The Cook Political Report's "Solid Republican" rating translates to exactly what the Kalshi Polymarket odds are showing, a commanding Republican advantage that leaves little room for a Democratic upset.
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