Who's In the Race

Democrat Donna Miller and Republican Michael Noack will face off in the general election for Illinois's 2nd U.S. House District. Incumbent Rep. Robin Kelly, a Democrat, is not running for re-election. Miller won the Democratic primary on March 17, 2026, taking about 41 percent of the vote in a nine-candidate field; Noack ran unopposed in the Republican primary.

What They Stand For

Donna Miller, the Democratic candidate, leans into health care. She supports capping insulin prices, expanding access to generic drugs, and pursuing Medicare for All, according to her campaign website. She also supports restoring funding for rural and suburban hospitals and extending nationwide the medical-debt relief she pursued in Cook County. On the economy, Miller supports labor unions, repealing tax breaks for billionaires, and investing in affordable housing.

Noack, on his campaign website, opposes government-run health care and instead supports converting health-insurance companies into nonprofit organizations. His platform also includes energy independence, property-tax relief, and what his campaign describes as "common-sense immigration." Noack supports deploying veterans' skills in areas where communities need them.

The Money Behind the Race

Outside spending in the race totals $7,196,034, all of it directed at Democratic candidates. Of that total, $6,375,813 went toward supporting candidates and $820,221 went toward opposing them.

Affordable Chicago Now! (ACN) has a total of $4,379,243 across 24 records in the spending data. Think Big has a total of $1,430,037 across five records. Fairshake spent $817,066 across six records. Progressive Promise was listed as a spender with a total of $207,625 across two records, and Working Families Party PAC with a total of $115,000 across three.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections each rate the race "Solid Democratic," as of September. Kalshi's prediction market, as of Oct. 2, 2026, gives Democrats a 96 percent chance of winning the seat and Republicans about four percent.

The district has voted heavily Democratic in recent cycles: Robin Kelly won with 67.1 percent in 2022 and 67.5 percent in 2024. In the 2024 presidential race, Democrat Kamala Harris carried Illinois with about 54 percent of the vote.

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