Who's In the Race

Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R-TX) faces Democrat Bobby Pulido in the November 3 general election in Texas's 15th District. ​

Texas adopted a new congressional map in 2025, changing the 15th District's boundaries from those used in 2024.

De La Cruz is serving her second term and is the first Republican Latina to represent Texas, according to her official House biography.

Pulido is a Tejano artist and small-business owner who was born and raised in Edinburg and studied political science at St. Mary's University, according to his campaign website.

De La Cruz ran unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, while Pulido faced a contested Democratic primary the same day. Pulido won that primary with about 68% of the vote over runner-up Ada Cuellar, a margin of 35 percentage points.

What They Stand For

De La Cruz has supported border enforcement measures including proof of citizenship to vote in federal elections and legislation targeting dangerous vehicle pursuits by people in the country illegally, according to her official House website. She has also supported:

  • Describing a tax bill as "an important update to America's tax policy," according to her House website,
  • Federal aid for Texas farmers and holding Mexico accountable for compliance with the 1944 water treaty; and
  • Advocating for what she has called an important update to U.S. tax policy.

Pulido has proposed standing up to "big greedy corporations" raising prices and cutting red tape for small businesses, according to his campaign website. He has also supported:

  • Fair markets and open trade for farmers and ranchers, arguing tariffs raise costs,
  • A "tough but fair" immigration system with more vetting hubs in Central America and a reasonable path to legalization,
  • Strengthening Medicare and negotiating lower prescription drug prices; and
  • Opposing school vouchers, raising teacher pay, and investing in desalination and water infrastructure.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race a Toss-up as of Oct. 9, and Sabato's Crystal Ball also rated it a Toss-up as of Oct. 11. On Kalshi, traders gave Democrats, whose nominee is Pulido, an 82.18% chance of winning as of Oct. 15; Republicans, whose nominee is De La Cruz, stood at 17.82%.

De La Cruz, a Republican, won the 2022 general election in Texas's 15th District with about 53% of the vote and the 2024 general with about 57%. Republicans won 25 of Texas's 38 U.S. House seats in both 2022 and 2024, and Democrats won the remaining 13 both years. Donald Trump carried Texas in the 2024 presidential election with about 56% of the vote.

Despite that statewide lean, the pundit ratings and prediction markets both point to a competitive contest in the 15th District, where the new district boundaries and a well-funded challenger have kept the race in toss-up territory.

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