Who's In the Race

Democrat Kyle Rable faces Republican Tom Sell in the Nov. 3 general election in Texas's 19th Congressional District. The seat is open since incumbent Rep. Jodey C. Arrington (R-TX) announced in November 2025 that he would not seek reelection and would serve out his term. Texas also enacted a new congressional map in August 2025 for use in this years elections. ​

Rable is a U.S. Army Reserve captain pursuing a Ph.D. at Texas Tech University and serves as secretary of the Lubbock County Democratic Party; his campaign describes him as a union worker. Sell is a fifth-generation West Texan, small-business owner, and founder and managing partner of Combest, and he earned a bachelor's degree in agribusiness from Texas Tech in 1995.

What They Stand For

Sell has proposed strong immigration policies, according to his campaign website. He's also supported energy dominance, Second Amendment protections, protecting life, and standing up for West Texas values.

Rable has called for an "Economy of the People and for the People," according to his campaign website. He's also supported making immigration and the border a key issue, protecting Americans' personal information, flagging AI as a concern, and advocating for "Farms for Farmers."

The Money Behind the Race

Through June 30, Sell had raised about $2.1 million and had about $385,000 in the bank, while Rable had raised about $31,000 and had about $7,600 on hand, according to Federal Election Commission filings. Sell's cash advantage is roughly 50-to-1. Outside groups have spent about $1.3 million supporting Sell, with American Mission the largest backer at about $579,000, and about $81,000 opposing him, all from America First Rescue PAC.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Republican as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 2. On Kalshi, traders gave Republicans a 95.91% chance of winning as of Oct. 14.

Arrington carried the district with about 80% of the vote in both 2022 and 2024. Republican candidates won 25 seats, and Democratic candidates won 13. Donald Trump carried Texas in the 2024 presidential election with about 56% of the vote.

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