Who's In the Race

Rep. Roger Williams (R-TX) faces Democratic challenger Dione Sims in the Nov. 3 general election in Texas's 25th District. Texas redrew its congressional district boundaries in August 2025, and voters will use the new map in 2026. ​

Williams has served in Congress since 2013, and he describes himself as a small-business owner whose experience informs his work on financial services. He ran unopposed in the Republican primary on March 3. Sims is a community advocate and the granddaughter of Dr. Opal Lee, known for her work to make Juneteenth a federal holiday. Sims won the Democratic primary with about 61 percent of the vote over William Marks.

What They Stand For

Williams says he is "fighting each day to lower taxes and cut the burdensome regulations that hurt small businesses," according to his official House website. He has also supported ensuring Americans have access to "fair, competitively priced financial products and services" while opposing rules he believes stifle growth, immigration and border security, veterans' issues, the Second Amendment, and energy independence.

Sims is a community advocate and the granddaughter of Dr. Opal Lee, who is known for her work to make Juneteenth a federal holiday, according to Ballotpedia.

The Money Behind the Race

Federal Election Commission filings show Williams raised about $1.4 million through June 30 and had about $1.1 million in cash on hand. Sims reported no receipts or cash on hand in FEC filings. The Texas Organizing Project Political Action Committee has filed notices of about $63,000 in pending independent expenditures supporting Sims, though none of that spending had been reported as completed as of Oct. 13.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Every major handicapper rates this race as safe Republican territory. Cook Political Report rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 2. As of Oct. 13, Kalshi traders gave Republicans a 97.27 percent chance of winning, while Democrats stood at 2.73 percent.

Roger Williams won the district with about 100 percent of the vote in 2022 and about 99 percent in 2024. Republicans held 25 of Texas's 38 U.S. House seats after both the 2022 and 2024 elections, with Democrats holding the remaining 13. Donald Trump carried Texas in the 2024 presidential election with about 56 percent of the vote.

The voter-registration deadline was Monday, Oct. 5; mail registration had to be postmarked by that date, and no online or same-day registration is available. Early voting runs Monday, Oct. 19 through Friday, Oct. 30, and Texas law requires at least 12 consecutive hours each weekday of the final week at the main early voting polling place, with no uniform statewide hours. The county must receive mail ballot applications by Friday, Oct. 23. On Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 3, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.

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