Who's In the Race

Democrat Frederick Haynes III faces Republican Everett Honorable Jackson in the November 3 general election in Texas's 30th U.S. House District. The seat is open: Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-TX) is vacating it to run for U.S. Senate, according to the Texas Tribune. The district's boundaries also changed in the 2025 redistricting, which added part of Tarrant County and removed Rep. Jasmine Crockett from the district. ​

Haynes has served for more than four decades as senior pastor of Friendship-West Baptist Church in Dallas and has organized around voting rights, civil rights, predatory lending and economic equity. He won the March 3 Democratic primary with about 73 percent of the vote over runner-up Barbara Mallory Caraway.

Jackson describes himself as a small-business owner and community organizer who grew up in a working-class family in Dallas. He won the May 26 Republican primary runoff with about 58 percent over runner-up Sholdon Daniels.

Haynes drew 76,701 votes in his primary, more than three times the total Republican primary turnout of 14,238 votes.

What They Stand For

Haynes has proposed capping interest rates nationally and closing loopholes used by predatory lenders, according to his campaign website. He's also supported:

  • Expanding access to affordable housing, childcare, healthcare and paid family leave,
  • Wage growth tied to the real cost of living, with investment in homeownership, small-business development and student-debt relief; and
  • Confronting environmental injustice, arguing that "Environmental injustice is not accidental — it is the result of policy choices."

Jackson has proposed bringing high-paying jobs and investment to the district and helping local businesses thrive, according to his campaign website. He also supports:

  • Increasing the Child Tax Credit and keeping public schools focused on "genuine education, not divisive indoctrination,"
  • Confronting cartels with the death penalty for traffickers and opposing China's aggression,
  • Making federal spending cuts permanent and expanding Texas oil production and U.S. energy independence; and
  • Protecting people of faith from discrimination and upholding religious freedom.

The Money Behind the Race

Through June 30, Haynes had raised about $420,000 and had about $120,000 in the bank, while Jackson had raised about $17,000 and had roughly $1,159 on hand, meaning Haynes raised approximately 24 times as much. Outside groups have spent about $200,000 supporting Haynes, with Justice Democrats PAC and American Priorities each contributing $100,000; no outside money has been spent opposing any candidate in the race.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Democratic as of Oct. 19; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 2. On Kalshi, traders gave Democrats, whose nominee is Haynes, a 96.88 percent chance of winning as of Oct. 20.

The district's history reinforces that consensus. Crockett won the seat with about 75 percent in 2022 and about 85 percent in 2024, a gain of more than 10 percentage points. Republicans won 25 of the state's 38 U.S. House seats in both 2022 and 2024, and Democrats won the other 13. Statewide, Republican Donald J. Trump carried Texas in the 2024 presidential election with about 56 percent of the vote.

---

AllCiv makes it easy to stay politically informed and involved.

---

Spot something wrong? Report an issue with this article