Who's In the Race

Rep. Jake Ellzey (R-TX) faces Democrat Danny Minton in the November 3 general election in Texas's 6th U.S. House District. The race uses a new congressional map enacted in 2025. ​

Ellzey represents the district on the House Appropriations and Small Business committees and served 20 years in the U.S. Navy as a helicopter and fighter pilot, completing five combat tours; he also served as a Texas state representative. He won the March 3 Republican primary with about 66% of the vote over runner-up James Buford.

Minton works in healthcare, training nurses and doctors to use medical equipment during breast-cancer surgeries, and says he has spent more than 30 years in the field. He ran unopposed in the March 3 Democratic primary.

What They Stand For

Ellzey has called for securing the border and increasing funding for the Border Patrol, including federal reimbursement to Texas for border-security costs, according to his official House website. He's also supported:

  • Free-market principles and opposition to government interference in business, with a call for more U.S.-made exports: "Made in America must return."
  • U.S. energy independence and a leadership role in global energy production through greater innovation and research and development; and
  • Prioritizing veterans' issues.

Minton has proposed a healthcare buy-in and says the system should be "built for patients, not insurance companies, not politicians, and not profit margins," according to his campaign website. He also supports:

  • An economy focused on affordability, letting families secure a good life,
  • Protecting public education for "kids, teachers, and communities,"
  • Secure borders paired with "compassionate immigration" that upholds human dignity; and
  • Requiring a congressional vote before troops are sent into lasting conflicts, with military force used only as a last resort.

The Money Behind the Race

Through June 30, Ellzey had raised about $4.66 million and held about $2.48 million in cash on hand, while Minton had raised about $44,000 and held about $13,600 on hand, according to Federal Election Commission filings; Ellzey's total receipts are more than 105 times Minton's, giving him a commanding financial edge heading into November. Minton carries about $3,125 in debt, a figure that is less than half his receipts.

Outside groups have spent about $34,000 supporting Ellzey, with Patriotic Fund, Inc. the largest spender at about $34,000; no outside spending opposing any candidate in the race has been recorded.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Republican as of Oct. 19; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 2. On Kalshi, traders gave Republicans, whose nominee is Ellzey, a 98.09% chance of winning as of Oct. 20.

Ellzey carried the district with about 66% in 2024 and ran unopposed in 2022. In 2022, Republicans won 25 of Texas's 38 U.S. House seats, and Democrats won the remaining 13. Donald Trump carried Texas in the 2024 presidential election with about 56% of the vote.

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