Who's In the Race

Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D-TX) faces Republican Alexander Hale and Green Party candidate Espoir Ngabo in the Nov. 3 general election in Texas's 7th District. ​

Fletcher has represented the Houston-area district since 2019 and worked as an energy lawyer before entering Congress. He ran unopposed in the March 3 Democratic primary, according to The Texas Tribune.

Hale is an energy and chemicals consultant based in Houston. He won the May 26 Republican primary runoff with about 64% of the vote over Tina Cohen, who received about 36%, also according to The Texas Tribune.

What They Stand For

Fletcher has proposed protecting access to reproductive health care, according to her campaign website, where she writes: "Access to reproductive health care is essential to all Americans' ability to control their lives." She's also supported:

  • Clean, reliable energy while addressing climate change and environmental concerns,
  • domestic oil and natural gas production, which she calls critical to the nation, and protecting energy jobs; and
  • Health care, immigration, gun safety, education, and transportation and infrastructure, per her official House website.

Ngabo has organized his campaign around "Saving Democracy" and the Green Party platform, according to his campaign website.

The Money Behind the Race

Through June 30, Democrat Lizzie Fletcher had raised about $1.4 million and had about $1.7 million in cash on hand. Hale had raised about $77,000 and had about $6,300 in cash on hand as of June 30.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race "Solid Democratic" as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball also rated it "Solid Democratic" as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it "Solid Democratic" as of Oct. 2. On Kalshi, traders gave Democrats, whose nominee is Fletcher, a 96.1% chance of winning as of Oct. 14.

Fletcher carried the district with about 64% in 2022 and about 61% in 2024. Republicans held 25 of Texas's 38 U.S. House seats after both the 2022 and 2024 elections, with Democrats holding the remaining 13. Donald Trump carried Texas in the 2024 presidential election with about 56% of the vote.

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