Who's In the Race

Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) faces Republican Bert Mizusawa in Virginia's U.S. Senate race. Democratic Sen. Mark Warner is running for reelection in Virginia's U.S. Senate race, which is on the Nov. 3 general election ballot. ​

Warner served as Virginia's governor from 2002 to 2006 and built a career as a technology entrepreneur before entering public office. He ran unopposed in the Democratic primary on Aug. 4.

Mizusawa is a retired U.S. Army major general who served from 1979 to 2015 and later worked as a senior federal executive, according to his campaign. He won the Republican primary on Aug. 4, collecting 124,271 votes over runner-up David Williams, who received 69,725 votes, and Kim Farington, who received 47,357 votes.

What They Stand For

Warner has proposed increasing housing supply and affordability by rehabilitating existing structures, speeding permitting, and making it easier to build, according to his campaign website. He's also supported:

  • Oversight and regulation of artificial intelligence, with a Senate agenda focused on responsible innovation, workers, and national security;
  • Protecting residential customers from bearing the cost of large data centers' electricity demands; and
  • helping workers adapt to an AI-driven economy through research into AI's impact on the workforce and through workforce training.

Mizusawa has proposed protecting veterans' benefits and expanding access to quality health care for veterans and their families, according to his campaign website.

The Money Behind the Race

Warner raised about $25.2 million and had about $16.1 million in cash on hand through July 15, according to Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings. Mizusawa raised about $419,000 and had about $90,000 in cash on hand through July 15, also per FEC filings, and carried about $51,000 in debt.

Outside groups spent about $150,000 in the race as of Oct. 13, all of it supporting Warner. The largest spender was Fellowship PAC, which put in $150,000 in support of Warner.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

The Cook Political Report rated the race "Solid Democratic" as of Oct. 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball also rated it "Solid Democratic" as of Oct. 9, and Inside Elections called it "Solid Democratic" as of Oct. 2.

On Kalshi, traders gave Democrats, whose nominee is Warner, a 97.2 percent chance of winning as of Oct. 13.

Democrat Tim Kaine won the Virginia U.S. Senate Class I seat in 2024 with 54.4 percent of the vote. Democrats held six of Virginia's 11 U.S. House seats after both the 2022 and 2024 elections, with Republicans holding the remaining five. In the 2024 presidential race, Democrat Kamala Harris carried Virginia with about 52 percent of the vote.

Virginia's voter-registration deadline is Friday, Oct. 23, for online, mail, and in-person registration; same-day registration is available after that date, including on Election Day, with voting by provisional ballot. The deadline to apply for a mail or absentee ballot is also Friday, Oct. 23, by 5:00 p.m. Early voting runs from Friday, Sept. 18, through Saturday, Oct. 31; hours vary by locality. On Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 3, polls are open from 6:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.

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