Who's In the Race

Republican Chuck Gray faces Democrat Lisa Kinney, Libertarian Shawn Johnson and Constitution Party candidate Jeff Haggit in the Nov. 3 general election in Wyoming's at-large U.S. House District. The seat is held by Rep. Harriet Hageman (R-WY), who announced she would run for U.S. Senate in 2026 rather than seek another House term. ​

Gray has served as Wyoming Secretary of State since 2023, overseeing statewide election administration, and previously served in the Wyoming House of Representatives from 2017 to 2023. He won the Republican primary over runner-up Steve Friess in a 12-candidate field; a vote share was not reported for Gray.

Kinney was born and raised in Laramie and has worked as a librarian, attorney, and financial adviser, and served 10 years in the Wyoming State Senate. She won the Democratic primary with about 78 percent of the vote, running unopposed.

What They Stand For

Chuck Gray for Congress lists energy, affordability, and election integrity as the central pillars of his campaign. He has also emphasized:

  • Energy
  • Affordability
  • Election integrity

Lisa Kinney has proposed keeping public lands in public hands, including by reintroducing H.R. 718, according to the WyoFile 2026 Election Guide. She has also supported:

  • Working across party lines to expand health-insurance options and lower premium costs for Wyoming residents, according to the Jackson Hole News&Guide,
  • Lowering health-care costs; and
  • Putting more money in people's pockets.

The Money Behind the Race

Federal Election Commission filings show Gray raised about $1.6 million through July 29 and had about $240,000 in cash on hand, carrying about $1.4 million in debt.

Outside groups had spent about $6.1 million in the race as of Oct. 13, all of it directed at Republican candidates in the primary field. The top outside spender was Fighting for Wyoming, which reported about $2.4 million in support spending. Protecting Wyoming Values spent $1,576,430 in support, while Wyoming Way Action PAC spent $1,561,988, including $838,355 in support and $723,632 in opposition.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

The Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Republican as of Oct. 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 11. Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 2.

Kalshi traders gave Republicans, whose nominee is Gray, a 96.86 percent chance of winning as of Oct. 13.

Republicans have won Wyoming's at-large House seat in each of the past two cycles: Harriet Hageman took it with about 67 percent in 2022 and about 68 percent in 2024. Republicans won Wyoming's single U.S. House seat in both 2022 and 2024. Donald Trump carried Wyoming in the 2024 presidential election with about 71 percent of the vote.

Wyoming's voter-registration deadline is Monday, Oct. 19; voters may also register in person and cast an absentee ballot from Tuesday, Oct. 20 through Monday, Nov. 2, or register and vote at their polling place on Election Day. Early voting runs Tuesday, Oct. 20 through Monday, Nov. 2, with hours varying by county. The mail-ballot application deadline is Monday, Nov. 2. Polls on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 3, are open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.

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