The Race

Alma Adams is running for reelection in North Carolina's 12th Congressional District on November 3 and faces Republican Jack Codiga. Adams crushed her Democratic primary on March 3, securing 54,630 votes out of 69,219 cast, a commanding 79% of the field. Codiga won the Republican side with 6,569 votes from 9,752 total ballots.

Ratings

Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating means this district leans heavily blue.

Prediction Markets

As of June 29, Kalshi's prediction markets gave the Democratic candidate a 97.49% probability of winning.

Experts vs. Markets

Cook's Solid Democratic rating and Kalshi's 97.49% probability are essentially saying identical things.

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