Who's In the Race

Rep. Alma Adams (D-NC) is the Democratic incumbent in North Carolina's 12th District, and Jack Codiga won the Republican primary there on March 3. North Carolina enacted a new congressional map in October 2025, which applies to the 2026 elections. ​

Adams has represented the 12th District since 2014 and taught art at Bennett College for 40 years, holding a Ph.D. in Art Education. She won the Democratic primary with about 79 percent of the vote over Monaca Williamson. Codiga works in mortgage lending and earned a bachelor's degree in finance from Santa Clara University. He won the Republican primary with about 67 percent of the vote over Addul Ali.

What They Stand For

Adams has supported expanding women's health care and protecting women's rights, according to her campaign website. She has also supported:

  • Improving public and higher education,
  • Expanding access to health care,
  • Strengthening the middle class; and
  • Policies to support seniors.

Codiga has called the national debt a major concern. His campaign centers on accountability in Washington, housing affordability, and individual liberties.

The Money Behind the Race

Federal Election Commission filings show Adams raised about $371,000 through June 30 and had about $457,000 in the bank. Codiga raised about $29,000 through June 30 and had just $3 in cash on hand, with $3,000 in debt.

Outside spending in the race totaled just $10 as of Oct. 13, all of it backing Adams, spent by Sierra Club Independent Action.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

The Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Democratic as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 2. Kalshi traders gave Democrats, whose nominee is Adams, a 98.22 percent chance of winning as of Oct. 13.

Adams won the 12th District with about 63 percent in 2022 and about 74 percent in 2024. Statewide, North Carolina's House delegation split evenly between the parties in 2022 (seven seats each), then shifted to Republicans in 2024, when they won 10 of the state's 14 seats to Democrats' four. Republican Donald Trump carried North Carolina in the 2024 presidential election with about 51 percent of the vote.

The regular voter-registration deadline was 5 p.m. Friday, Oct. 9; same-day registration remains available during early in-person voting. Early voting runs Thursday, Oct. 15 through Saturday, Oct. 31, with weekday hours of 8 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. and voting ending at 3 p.m. on Oct. 31; county schedules may vary. The deadline to apply for a mail ballot is 5 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 20. On Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 3, polls are open from 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.

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