The Race

Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow is running for re-election in Colorado's 6th U.S. House District against Republican nominee Mel Tewahade. The general election is November 3, and nine candidates total will appear on the ballot.

Ratings

The consensus from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball is that this district is Solid Democratic.

Prediction Markets

As of June 29, just one day before the primaries wrapped up, Kalshi's election prediction markets gave Democrats a 95.44% probability of winning this seat. Republicans got a 4.56%.

Experts vs. Markets

The midterm race ratings and the Kalshi Polymarket odds agree. The expert consensus says "Solid Democratic." The prediction markets say "95% Democratic."

For Crow, that's validation, and for Tewahade, it's a steep mountain.

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