Who's In the Race

Rep. Randy Fine (R-FL) faces Democrat Eric Yonce, Libertarian Andrew Parrot, and write-in candidate Alec Pavlik in the Nov. 3 general election in Florida's 6th Congressional District. The seat came open in 2025 after then-Rep. Mike Waltz resigned; Fine won the special election that followed and is now running in the regular 2026 cycle. ​

Fine served in the Florida House of Representatives from 2016 to 2024 and in the Florida Senate from 2024 to 2025 before winning the special election. He won the Republican primary on Aug. 18, pulling 51,076 votes over runner-up Dan Bilzerian, who received 16,773.

Yonce says he started a small business renovating vintage Airstream travel trailers, and he describes seeing development threaten Florida's coastlines and wildlife. He won the Democratic primary with 13,461 votes, edging Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera, who received 11,256.

What They Stand For

Fine has proposed an economy that "rewards work, strengthens families, and keeps America first in the global marketplace," according to his official House website. He's also supported:

  • Ending what he calls the "Green New Scam" and opposing climate policies he says destroy jobs,
  • Confronting terrorism and stopping what he describes as "the spread of Sharia Law in our communities," according to his House website; and
  • Honoring veterans as a legislative priority.

Yonce has proposed expanding affordable and workforce housing while protecting renters and homeowners, according to his campaign website. He's also supported:

  • Stabilizing insurance costs through resilience investments and federal reinsurance,
  • Requiring data-center operators to cover the infrastructure and energy costs they create rather than passing them to working families, according to the Orlando Sentinel; and
  • Lowering healthcare and prescription-drug costs, according to Florida Politics.

Pavlik, the write-in candidate, describes his campaign's mission as restoring the Constitution.

The Money Behind the Race

Federal Election Commission filings show Yonce raised about $326,000 through July 29 and had about $34,000 in cash on hand. Fine's FEC fundraising figures are not available in the record.

Outside groups spent about $4 million in the race as of Oct. 13, nearly all of it backing Fine. Conservative Fighter PAC ranked first among the top spenders with $1,709,021 in support, followed by Defend American Jobs with $1,673,736 in support. The Front Line Action spent $286,066 opposing Republican primary candidate Dan Bilzerian, and the Center for Voter Information reported $42,229 in opposition spending in the race.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

The Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Republican as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 2. Kalshi traders gave Republicans, whose nominee is Fine, a 97.03 percent chance of winning as of Oct. 13, with Democrats, whose nominee is Yonce, at 2.97 percent.

The district has leaned heavily Republican: Michael Waltz won it with about 75 percent of the vote in 2022 and about 67 percent in 2024. Statewide, Republicans hold 20 of Florida's 28 U.S. House seats and Democrats hold eight, a margin that held steady across both the 2022 and 2024 cycles. In the 2024 presidential race, Republican Donald Trump carried Florida with about 56 percent of the vote.

Voter registration for the Nov. 3 election closed Monday, Oct. 5, according to the Florida Division of Elections. Mail-ballot applications in Volusia County were due by Thursday, Oct. 22, at 5:00 p.m., per the Volusia County Supervisor of Elections.

Early voting runs Saturday, Oct. 24, through Saturday, Oct. 31, statewide; Volusia and Flagler counties began early voting Monday, Oct. 19, and run through Oct. 31. Volusia County early-voting hours are 8:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m.; Flagler County hours are 10:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. On Election Day, polls in Volusia County are open from 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m., according to the Volusia County Supervisor of Elections.

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