Who's In the Race

Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise will face Randall Arrington and Lauren Jewett for a bid at Louisiana's 1st U.S. House District seat in November. [](#ngr-1fb27108-85fe-452a-a946-482d96f1033a)

Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, the primary election is scheduled for Nov. 3, with a general election in December. The confirmed field includes two Republicans, Scalise and challenger Arrington, and one Democrat, Jewett, a National Board Certified special education teacher and union member. Two other Democrats, Donna Major and Candida Pagel, did not make the ballot; Major withdrew, and Pagel did not qualify.

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What They Stand For

Steve Scalise

Scalise supports expanding domestic energy production onshore and offshore, reducing regulatory burdens on the energy sector, and streamlining permitting processes; a posture he describes as "unleashing American energy." On taxes, he supports making the Trump-era tax cuts permanent, opposes tax increases, and has backed legislation including the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," which he describes as cutting wasteful spending and providing relief for families and small businesses.

Scalise has identified border security as a top legislative priority, framing it as part of a broader "America First" agenda alongside energy and tax policy. He maintains dedicated issues pages on his congressional website covering the Second Amendment and national security, and has publicly opposed gun control legislation on the House floor.

Lauren Jewett

Jewett's campaign centers on lowering costs for working families, which her campaign website lists as a central priority. She has committed to protecting Louisiana's coast, describing the 1st District as "one of the most vulnerable and overlooked regions in the state." Jewett also calls for making Washington more accountable to the people it represents, and has committed to expanding access to affordable health care in the district. A special education teacher and union political education officer, she is endorsed by the Louisiana AFL-CIO. Her campaign tagline calls for putting "kids, families, teachers, and working people first."

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The Money Behind the Race

Across all candidates combined, the race has drawn a total of $10,780,706 in fundraising.

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Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Every major race-rating service calls this contest a safe Republican hold. Cook Political Report rated the race "Solid Republican" as of Sept. 11; Sabato's Crystal Ball issued the same rating as of Sept. 22; and Inside Elections matched that call as of Sept. 17.

Kalshi put the probability of a Republican win at 98 percent as of Sept. 24, leaving Democrats at two percent, based on a market volume of 3,547 contracts.

Donald Trump carried Louisiana in the 2024 presidential election with 60.2 percent of the vote. Partisan lean data for Louisiana from the 2022 and 2024 federal congressional cycles is not available.

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