Who's In the Race

Republican Julia Letlow faces Democrat Jamie Davis in the November 3 general election in Louisiana's U.S. Senate race. Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) holds the seat and lost the May 16 Republican primary, finishing third and failing to advance to the runoff. ​

Letlow has represented Louisiana's 5th Congressional District in the U.S. House since 2021 and is a former educator who worked at the University of Louisiana Monroe and Tulane University. She won the June 27 Republican primary runoff with about 57 percent of the vote over runner-up John Fleming.

Davis is a third-generation row-crop farmer who owns and operates Davis Farms in the Louisiana Delta and served as a Tensas Parish Police Juror from 2015 for four years, including as the jury's vice president. He won the June 27 Democratic primary runoff with about 80 percent of the vote over runner-up Gary Crockett.

What They Stand For

Letlow has proposed keeping the border secure, finishing the border wall, and requiring E-Verify nationwide, according to her campaign website. She has also supported extending the Trump tax cuts and making the no-tax-on-tips and no-tax-on-overtime provisions permanent. Her priorities include expanding oil and natural-gas production, speeding up LNG export approvals, protecting Louisiana's refining and petrochemical jobs, supporting a national Parents' Bill of Rights and expanded school choice, reducing federal involvement in local education, reforming the National Flood Insurance Program, and expanding funding to help homeowners mitigate risks.

Davis has proposed rolling back portions of the 2025 tax law, raising the federal minimum wage, and cracking down on price-gouging at the pump, according to his campaign website. He has also supported restoring health coverage, lowering premiums and out-of-pocket costs, and using Medicare's buying power to bring down prescription-drug prices. He has advocated for a stronger farm bill, protecting crop insurance and disaster aid, and addressing consolidation in seed, fertilizer, and grain markets. He has also supported enforcing the Clean Air Act, stopping new industrial permits in communities already bearing heavy pollution burdens, requiring data centers to pay for their own power and community impacts, and supporting "common-sense rules" for AI.

The Money Behind the Race

Through June 30, Letlow had raised about $6.2 million and had about $1.4 million in the bank, roughly three times as much cash as Davis, who had raised about $2 million and had about $479,000 on hand, according to Federal Election Commission filings.

Outside groups have spent about $11.3 million supporting Letlow, with Accountability Project Inc. the largest backer at about $9.2 million, and about $10.9 million opposing her, with Louisiana Freedom Fund the largest spender against her at about $10.8 million, according to FEC filings.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Republican as of Oct. 12; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 9; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 2. On Kalshi, traders gave Republicans a 96.19% chance of winning as of Oct. 15, while Democrats stood at 3.81%.

Republicans won five of Louisiana's six U.S. House seats in 2022 and four of six in 2024. Donald Trump carried Louisiana in the 2024 presidential election with about 60 percent of the vote.

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