The Race
Incumbent Republican Bob Onder is running for re-election in Missouri's 3rd U.S. House District. By November, eight candidates will appear on the general election ballot.
Ratings
Midterm race ratings from the consensus, Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, all agree: Missouri's 3rd is Solid Republican.
Prediction Markets
As of June 29, Republicans hold a 94.2% probability of winning the seat, while Democrats sit at just 5.8%.
Experts vs. Markets
The consensus "Solid Republican" rating and the 94.2% Republican probability on Kalshi agree. Missouri's 3rd is, by every measure, Onder's to win.
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