The Race

Democrat Analilia Mejia is the incumbent taking on Republican Joe Hathaway in New Jersey's 11th U.S. House District general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. In the June 2 primary, Mejia walked away with 81.6% of the vote, and Hathaway ran unopposed.

Ratings

The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all rate this district as Solid/Safe Democratic.

Prediction Markets

Kalshi's prediction markets show Democrats with a 96.48% win probability, while Republicans sit at just 3.52%.

Experts vs. Markets

The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections consensus align perfectly with Kalshi's midterm election forecasts.

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