Who's In the Race

Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-NY) faces Democrat Alissa Ellman in the Nov. 3 general election in New York's 24th District. ​

Tenney is an attorney and small-business owner who has represented the district since 2017, with a break in service from 2019 to 2021, and previously served in the New York State Assembly from 2011 to 2016.

Ellman is an Army National Guard veteran who served from 2001 to 2007, worked as a teacher for underserved youth, and worked for the federal government. He won the June 23 Democratic primary with about 62 percent of the vote over Diana Kastenbaum. Tenney ran unopposed in the Republican primary.

What They Stand For

Tenney has supported tax cuts, citing her votes for the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and the Working Families Tax Cuts Act, according to her official House website. She's also supported:

  • border security to combat drug and human trafficking, enforce the nation's immigration laws, and protect American communities,
  • Strengthening protections for lawful gun owners and opposing restrictions on their rights; and
  • Veterans, healthcare, education, and protecting Social Security and Medicare, according to her campaign website.

Ellman has proposed protecting and expanding Medicaid coverage, according to Smarter Vote. She has also supported:

  • LGBTQ+ rights,
  • Reproductive freedom; and
  • Equal rights, according to her campaign website.

The Money Behind the Race

Through June 30, Claudia Tenney had raised about $2.8 million and had about $1.4 million in the bank, while Alissa Ellman had raised about $193,000 and had $12,850 on hand. Ellman carried about $17,597 in debt, roughly nine percent of her total receipts.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race Solid Republican as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Oct. 2. On Kalshi, traders gave Republicans, whose nominee is Tenney, a 96.06 percent chance of winning as of Oct. 14, while Democrats, whose nominee is Ellman, stood at 3.94 percent.

Tenney won the district with about 55 percent in 2022 and about 58 percent in 2024. Democrats won 18 of New York's 26 U.S. House seats in 2022 and 19 in 2024, while Republicans won 8 and then 7. In the 2024 presidential race, Kamala Harris carried New York with about 55 percent of the vote.

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