Who's In the Race
Rep. Andrea Salinas (D-OR) faces Republican David Russ in the November 3 general election in Oregon's 6th District.
Salinas has represented the district since 2023, after serving in the Oregon House of Representatives from 2017 through 2022 and working as a congressional aide and advocate before that. She won the May 19 Democratic primary with about 99 percent of the vote; write-in candidates were the only opposition.
Russ is a longtime small-business owner and accountant who served as Dundee's mayor for a decade and on the city council before that, with experience spanning real estate, manufacturing, agriculture and retail. He won the May 19 Republican primary with about 98 percent of the vote, also over write-in candidates.
The Democratic primary drew 55,300 votes compared with 38,810 in the Republican primary, a gap of 16,490 votes.
What They Stand For
Salinas has proposed lowering costs for families and bringing more living-wage jobs to Oregon, according to her campaign website. She's also supported:
Russ has called for a smaller federal government and reduced federal spending, saying "There's so much fat in the federal government. It's just ridiculous," according to the Statesman Journal. He's also supported:
- Stricter immigration enforcement, including making it a federal felony to aid or abet illegal border crossers, according to his campaign website,
- Returning federal public lands and control of local schools, utilities, businesses and infrastructure to state and local authorities,
- supporting domestic manufacturing and protecting small businesses and family farms, including ending onerous regulations and subsidies that benefit large corporations; and
- Affordable energy and responsible forest and agricultural management, according to the Statesman Journal.
Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets
Cook Political Report rated the district Solid Democratic as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it Solid Democratic as of Oct. 2. On Kalshi, traders gave Democrats, whose nominee is Salinas, a 98.28% chance of winning as of Oct. 15; Republicans, whose nominee is Russ, stood at 1.72%.
Salinas won the district with about 50 percent in 2022 and improved to about 53 percent in 2024, a gain of more than three percentage points. Her 2024 share ran about two points below Kamala Harris's Oregon-wide share of 55 percent. Democrats have dominated Oregon's congressional delegation, winning four of six U.S. House seats in 2022 and five of six in 2024. Harris carried Oregon in the 2024 presidential election with about 55 percent of the vote.
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