Who's In the Race

Democrat Anna Golladay and Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann advanced from Tennessee's Aug. 6 primaries and will face each other for the 3rd U.S. House District seat in November.

Golladay won the certified Democratic primary with 79.6 percent of the vote, or 27,725 votes. Bryan Martin finished second in that two-person primary with 20.4 percent, or 7,116 votes, out of 34,841 total votes. Fleischmann won the certified Republican primary uncontested.

What They Stand For

Golladay centers her campaign on:

  • Healthcare as a human right, drawn from her campaign economy page.
  • Protections for Tennessee workers as a top economic priority, drawn from her campaign economy page.
  • Environmental protection as a listed platform area, drawn from her campaign economy page.
  • Fair elections, fair maps and accountability for powerful interests, plus a pledge not to take corporate PAC money, drawn from her campaign homepage.
  • Protecting social freedoms and basing immigration policy on shared humanity, drawn from her campaign economy page.

Chuck Fleischmann includes border security, energy, taxes, healthcare, and defense among his stated positions. He also campaigns for:

  • Border security as essential to national security, opposition to amnesty for undocumented immigrants, and starting immigration reform with a wall on the southern border, drawn from his campaign issues page.
  • Environmentally safe energy exploration as part of comprehensive energy legislation, drawn from his campaign homepage, with energy independence listed as a major priority on his congressional issues page.
  • Changing a tax system his campaign says does not adequately support continued economic growth, drawn from his campaign homepage.
  • Healthcare as a policy area, with his congressional materials saying the system needed reform before the Affordable Care Act, drawn from his congressional issues page.
  • Modernizing the nation's nuclear deterrent and supporting defense-related funding, drawn from his congressional national defense page.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Every pundit rating tracked for this race calls it Solid Republican. Cook rated it Solid Republican as of Sept. 25. Sabato rated it Solid Republican as of Sept. 22. Inside Elections rated it Solid Republican as of Sept. 17. The consensus rating was Solid Republican as of Sept. 28.

Bettors on Kalshi gave the Republican a 93.48 percent chance and the Democrat a 6.52 percent chance as of Sept. 29, in a market with $14,458 in volume.

Tennessee leans red in recent federal congressional results, with Republicans winning eight of nine House races in 2022 and seven of nine in 2024. Republican Marsha Blackburn won the one Senate race in 2024. Donald Trump won Tennessee in the 2024 presidential election as a Republican with 64.194 percent of the vote.

Fleischmann won this district in 2022 as a Republican with 68.378 percent of the vote and again in 2024 with 67.514 percent of the vote.

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