The Race
Tom Tiffany, the incumbent Republican, is not running for re-election in Wisconsin's 7th U.S. House District. The Republican primary happens August 11, 2026, with the general election following on November 3, 2026. Democrats have their own primary the same day. It's shaping up as a heavyweight matchup between a safe Republican seat and a Democratic challenger trying to break through.
Ratings
The consensus from the major forecasters is this district is Republican country. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all rate Wisconsin's 7th as Solid Republican.
Prediction Markets
Kalshi betting odds, as of late June 2026, give Republicans an 86.14% probability of winning the general election. That translates to Democrats holding just a 13.86% chance.
Experts vs. Markets
A Solid Republican rating and 86% odds don't contradict each other, they reinforce it.
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