Who's In the Race

Rep. Yassamin Ansari (D-AZ) faces Republican Jacob Parkman, independent Alan Aversa, and a Green Party candidate in the Nov. 3 general election in Arizona's 3rd District. ​

Ansari, first elected to Congress in 2024, previously served as Phoenix vice mayor and was the youngest woman elected to the Phoenix City Council. She ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. Parkman describes himself as a husband, father, educator, and scientist with a Ph.D., and says he and his wife have six children.

What They Stand For

Ansari has proposed treating housing as a human right and lowering rents and housing costs, according to her official House website. She has also supported reducing household costs, including utility bills, a border policy that is both secure and welcoming to legal immigration, and addressing climate change.

According to his campaign website, Parkman has proposed increasing transparency and competition in health care, expanding access to primary care and telehealth, and lowering costs. He has also supported securing the border and enforcing immigration law, protecting legal immigration, and maintaining a lawful and orderly immigration system.

Aversa, an educator and substitute teacher, opposes promoting transgender issues and critical race theory, which he calls scientifically dubious, according to his campaign website.

The Money Behind the Race

Federal Election Commission filings show Ansari raised about $1.4 million through July 1 and had about $547,000 in the bank. Her filings also show $70,000 in debt. FEC filings carry no receipts or cash-on-hand figures for Parkman.

Outside spending in the race totaled about $3,385 as of Oct. 13, all of it supporting Ansari, according to the race record. The largest outside spender was the Western States Regional Council of Carpenters Legislative Improvement Committee, which put in about $3,375 in support of Ansari; the Sierra Club Independent Action added $10.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report rated the race "Solid Democratic" as of Oct. 9; Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it "Solid Democratic" as of Oct. 11; and Inside Elections rated it "Solid Democratic" as of Oct. 2.Kalshi traders gave Democrats a 96.8 percent chance of winning as of Oct. 13, with Republicans at 3.2 percent.

Democrats have won the district in each of the last two cycles: Ruben Gallego won in 2022 with about 77 percent of the vote, and Ansari carried it in 2024 with about 71 percent. Statewide, Republicans won six of Arizona's nine U.S. House seats in both 2022 and 2024, with Democrats winning the other three. Donald Trump carried Arizona in the 2024 presidential election with about 52 percent of the vote.

Arizona's voter-registration deadline for the Nov. 3 election is Monday, Oct. 5, by 11:59 p.m.; same-day registration is not available. The deadline to request a mail ballot is Friday, Oct. 23. Early voting runs Wednesday, Oct. 7, through Friday, Oct. 30. On Election Day, polls in Maricopa County are open from 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.

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