Who's In the Race

Rep. Keith Self (R-TX) faces Democrat Evan Hunt in the Nov. 3 general election for Texas' 3rd Congressional District. Texas redrew its congressional boundaries in 2025, meaning voters will elect representatives under a new map. ​

Self had served 25 years in the U.S. Army before retiring and later served three terms as Collin County judge. He has represented the district in Congress since 2023. Hunt describes himself as a 20-year military veteran, combat aviator, and business leader.

Self defeated Mark Newgent in the March 3 Republican primary, receiving approximately 80% of the vote. Hunt ran unopposed in the Democratic primary.

What They Stand For

Self identifies reducing the national debt, restricting abortion, strengthening border security, and protecting Second Amendment rights as policy priorities. He has also criticized federal immigration enforcement policies that he says allow undocumented immigrants to be housed at airport facilities.

Hunt emphasizes health care affordability and protecting Social Security. His campaign lists rising medical costs as a reform priority.

The Money Behind the Race

Through June 30, Self reported $645,503 in total receipts and $212,694 in cash on hand, according to the Federal Election Commission. Hunt reported $446,506 in receipts and $43,878 in cash. Self held nearly five times as much available campaign cash.

Hunt also reported $75,581 in outstanding debt, including a $75,000 candidate loan. Self reported no outstanding debt. Outside groups reportedly spent approximately $10,286 supporting Self, including $10,232 attributed to Freedom Caucus Fund. Those figures require reconciliation against FEC independent-expenditure filings.

Race Outlook: Ratings and Betting Markets

Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rated the race Solid Republican in October. On Kalshi, Republicans had a reported 93.15% probability of winning as of Oct. 14.

Self won approximately 61% of the vote in 2022 and 62% in 2024, although those results reflect the previous district boundaries. Republicans won 25 of Texas' 38 U.S. House seats in 2024, while Democrats won 13. Donald Trump carried Texas with approximately 56% of the statewide presidential vote.

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