Who's In The Race

Central Oakland County will send a new member to Congress for the first time since 2019, and many voters there already have absentee ballots in hand. Rep. Haley Stevens (D-MI) gave up the seat to run for the U.S. Senate, then lost the Aug. 4 Democratic primary to Abdul El-Sayed.

The race for Michigan's 11th U.S. House District pits Democratic state Sen. Jeremy Moss against Republican Ethan Baker, who has been mayor of Troy since 2019. Moss won a four-way primary with about 50% of the vote, while Baker ran unopposed. Libertarian Farid Ishac, independent Anil Kumar and Green Party candidate Ryan Teasdale are also on the ballot.

What They Stand For

Moss, the first openly gay member of the Michigan Senate, says on his campaign website that he "will always vote to protect access to abortion care." He backs a public option as a path to universal health coverage, the PRO Act to make it easier for workers to unionize, and a ban on stock trading by members of Congress. He says ICE "cannot be repaired or reformed under Donald Trump."

Baker, a lawyer who chairs the Great Lakes Fishery Commission, is running on cost of living, jobs and infrastructure. He told CBS Detroit those issues "are too important to be handled through division alone." He also emphasizes protecting the Great Lakes through cooperation with Canada, and The Detroit News editorial board endorsed him on Sept. 29.

The Money Behind The Race

Moss reported raising about $1.5 million from the start of his campaign in May 2025 through July 15, according to Federal Election Commission filings. He had about $353,000 left after his primary.

Baker reported raising about $142,000 from April 1 through July 15, nearly all from individual donors. He had about $121,000 in the bank. Outside groups have reported spending about $295,000 in the race, nearly all of it from Think Big, a super PAC focused on artificial intelligence policy, backing Moss.

Race Outlook: Ratings And Betting Markets

The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic as of Sept. 25, and Inside Elections gives it the same rating as of Oct. 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe Democratic as of Sept. 29. On Kalshi, traders favored Democrats at about 95.9% around 2:10 p.m. ET Monday, Oct. 5.

Stevens won the district with about 61% of the vote in 2022 and 58% in 2024. Statewide, President Donald Trump carried Michigan with nearly 50% in 2024.

Voters can register online or by mail through Monday, Oct. 19, or in person at their clerk's office through Election Day. Early in-person voting runs at least from Saturday, Oct. 24, through Sunday, Nov. 1, and polls are open 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. on Tuesday, Nov. 3.

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