The Winner
Scott Singer captured the Republican primary for Florida's 25th U.S. House District on August 18, with 31.0 percent of the vote. The non-incumbent candidate edged out a crowded field in a race where no candidate broke 30 percent.
Singer won by a slim 4.0-point margin over second-place finisher George Moraitis, who garnered 27.0 percent. Dan Franzese finished third with 26.0 percent. Also-rans included Raven Harrison, Joe Kaufman, and Dan Franzese.
The Election
Singer now advances to the general election on November 3 as the Republican nominee but faces an uphill battle. Prediction markets on Kalshi gave Democrats a 69.6 percent probability of winning the seat as of August 20, compared to Republicans' 30.4 percent. Consensus forecasters rated the race a toss-up as of August 17, though the prediction market data suggests a Democratic lean.
The general election remains highly competitive, with the Democratic candidate favored by a significant margin heading into the fall campaign.
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